📊 Savvy Trader Weekend Round-Up
For Swing & Day Traders | Week of April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Outlook & FOMC Update
Federal Reserve: Fed Chair Powell noted inflation remains above 2%. No rate cuts likely until summer.
Next FOMC Meeting: May 6–7, 2025
Next FOMC Meeting: May 6–7, 2025
Tariffs: New 10% base tariffs on imports (higher for China). China responded with retaliatory tariffs. Expect volatility across commodities, industrials, and semiconductors.
📊 Sector Performance
✅ Top 3 Sectors
| Sector | Ticker | Weekly Performance |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | XLE | +2.26% |
| Real Estate | XLRE | +1.58% |
| Utilities | XLU | +1.03% |
❌ Bottom 3 Sectors
| Sector | Ticker | Weekly Performance |
|---|---|---|
| Health Care | XLV | -0.62% |
| Technology | XLK | -0.55% |
| Communication Services | XLC | +0.65% |
Rotation: Money is flowing into defensive sectors (Utilities, Real Estate). Weakness continues in high-beta Tech and Health Care.
📅 Earnings Calendar (Week of April 21)
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Report Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | Tesla Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Apr 23 (Tue) |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | Communication Services | Apr 23 (Tue) |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Technology | Apr 25 (Thu) |
| WAL | Western Alliance | Financials | Apr 23 (Tue) |
| ZION | Zions Bancorp | Financials | Apr 23 (Tue) |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | Real Estate | Apr 24 (Wed) |
Sector Focus: Tech and Financials dominate this week’s earnings lineup.
🧾 Notable Analyst Ratings
- Downgrade: Citigroup downgraded U.S. equities to neutral due to tariff risks and small-cap recession fears.
- Upgrade Watch: Check Finviz Analyst Screener for daily upgrade candidates.
📌 Key Economic Events This Week
| Date | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23 (Tue) | Flash PMI (US, EU) | High – market volatility expected |
| Apr 25 (Thu) | US Core Durable Goods Orders | Medium – impacts industrials |
| Apr 26 (Fri) | U. of Michigan Inflation Expectations | High – sentiment indicator |
📈 Quick Trade Ideas
- Bullish: Energy & Utilities holding trend — potential long setups.
- Bearish: Tech weakness post-earnings — short the pop opportunities.
- Volatility Play: High short interest stocks that beat earnings — watch for squeezes.
🗓️ Weekend Market Report
📅 April 13, 2025
📈 Market Recap (April 7–11)
- S&P 500 (SPY): +5.7%
- Nasdaq (QQQ): +7.3%
- Dow Jones (DIA): +5.0%
- Russell 2000: +1.8%
Market rallied despite early-week volatility tied to tariff announcements. Tech and Materials led the charge, while Consumer Discretionary lagged.
📊 Sector Performance
- Top Gainers: Materials (+2.97%), Energy (+2.52%), Technology (+2.02%)
- Lagging Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+0.98%), Communication Services (+0.82%)
📉 Market Sentiment
Sentiment remains cautious. Yields are rising, consumer sentiment is falling, and traders are watching for earnings volatility and economic shocks.
🔮 Fed Watch
- Traders expect rate cuts later this year.
- FOMC policy path closely monitored via CME FedWatch Tool.
📅 Economic Events Next Week
- Apr 14: NAHB Housing Market Index
- Apr 15: Empire State Manufacturing Index
- Apr 16: March Retail Sales
- Apr 17: Housing Starts, Building Permits
- Apr 18: MARKETS CLOSED (Good Friday)
💼 Major Earnings Reports
- Apr 14: Goldman Sachs (GS)
- Apr 15: Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C)
- Apr 17: Netflix (NFLX), Taiwan Semi (TSM), UnitedHealth (UNH)
📌 Trading Implications
- 💥 Volatility expected — use tight risk controls.
- 📊 Watch tech & banks — catalysts from earnings and guidance.
- 🏗️ Retail & housing data may impact sentiment midweek.
🛠️ Tools to Watch
- Investing.com — Earnings Calendar & Economic Indicators
- ForexFactory — Global Calendar & Volatility News
- Unusual Whales — Unusual Options Flow & Sentiment
- X (formerly Twitter) Posts — Real-time updates
